A statistician will look at this and conclude that the experiments show no evidence of the die being rigged. In fact, in total, the die rolled a 1 exactly 6/36 times, as expected. Statistically, this is far too small of a sample size to indicate anything wrong with the die.
Now suppose the person conducts 6 tests of 6 rolls. It is most prominent in the “Drop rates were stealth nerfed” threads.Ĭonsider a person who has an unshakable belief that a fair die is rigged to roll a 1 less often than it should.
It is the tendency of humans to to only consider evidence that supports their own theories, while ignoring or pushing aside evidence that goes against their theories.
